Research
Research in American Politics and Political Methodology
Selected Working Papers
Redistricting Reforms Reduce Gerrymandering by Constraining Partisan Actors
(with Cory McCartan, Tyler Simko, Emma Ebowe, Michael Y. Zhao, and Kosuke Imai)
@article{mccartan2024redistricting, title={Redistricting Reforms Reduce Gerrymandering by Constraining Partisan Actors}, author={McCartan, Cory and Kenny, Christopher T. and Simko, Tyler and Ebowe, Emma and Zhao, Michael Y. and Imai, Kosuke}, year={2024}, eprint={2407.11336}, archivePrefix={arXiv}, primaryClass={stat.AP}, url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2407.11336}, }
Individual and Differential Harm in Redistricting
(with Cory McCartan)
@misc{mccartan2025individual, doi = {10.31235/osf.io/nc2x7_v2}, url = {https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/nc2x7/}, author = {McCartan, Cory and Kenny, Christopher T.}, keywords = {representation, redistricting, voting rights, individual harm}, title = {Individual and Differential Harm in Redistricting}, publisher = {SocArXiv}, year = {2025} }
Inequality in Administrative Democracy: Large-Sample Evidence from American Financial Regulation
(with Daniel P. Carpenter, Angelo Dagonel, Devin Judge-Lord, Brian Libgober, Steven Rashin, Jacob Waggoner, and Susan Webb Yackee)
Awarded the 2021 Herbert Kaufman Award
Any Way You Slice It: Racial Segregation Statistics are Robust to Aggregation Bias
(with Jacob R. Brown and Tyler Simko)
@misc{brown2025any, doi = {10.31235/osf.io/nv5up_v2}}, url = {https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/nv5up_v2}, author = {Brown, Jacob and Kenny, Christopher T. and Simko, Tyler}, keywords = {segregation, measurement, simulation, Census data, measurement error}, title = {Any Way You Slice It: Racial Segregation Statistics are Robust to Aggregation Bias}, publisher = {SocArXiv}, year = {2025} }
Principles and Politics: Explicit Rules Bind Lawmakers and Courts
Gerrymandering and geographic polarization have reduced electoral competition
(with Ethan Jasny, Cory McCartan, Tyler Simko, Melissa Wu, Michael Y. Zhao, Aneetej Arora, Emma Ebowe, Philip O'Sullivan, Taran Samarth, and Kosuke Imai)
@misc{jasny2025gerrymandering, title = {Gerrymandering and geographic polarization have reduced electoral competition}, author = {Ethan Jasny and Christopher T. Kenny and Cory McCartan and Tyler Simko and Melissa Wu and Michael Y. Zhao and Aneetej Arora and Emma Ebowe and Philip O'Sullivan and Taran Samarth and Kosuke Imai}, year = {2025}, eprint = {2508.15885}, archivePrefix = {arXiv}, primaryClass = {stat.AP}, url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.15885}, }
bskyr: An R Package to Interact with Bluesky Social
Publications
Evaluating Bias and Noise Induced by the U.S. Census Bureau's Privacy Protection Methods
(with Cory McCartan, Shiro Kuriwaki, Tyler Simko, and Kosuke Imai)
2024. Science Advances.
@misc{kenn:etal:24b, author = {Christopher T. Kenny and Cory McCartan and Shiro Kuriwaki and Tyler Simko and Kosuke Imai}, title = {Evaluating bias and noise induced by the U.S. Census Bureau's privacy protection methods}, journal = {Science Advances}, volume = {10}, number = {18}, pages = {eadl2524}, year = {2024}, doi = {10.1126/sciadv.adl2524}, URL = {https://www.science.org/doi/abs/10.1126/sciadv.adl2524}, eprint = {https://www.science.org/doi/pdf/10.1126/sciadv.adl2524}, }
Census Officials Must Constructively Engage with Independent Evaluations
(with Cory McCartan, Tyler Simko, and Kosuke Imai)
2024. PNAS.
@article{kenn:etal:24a, title={Census officials must constructively engage with independent evaluations}, author={Kenny, Christopher T. and McCartan, Cory and Simko, Tyler and Imai, Kosuke}, journal={Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences}, volume={121}, number={11}, pages={e2321196121}, year={2024}, publisher={National Acad Sciences} }
Widespread Partisan Gerrymandering Mostly Cancels Nationally, but Reduces Electoral Competition
(with Cory McCartan, Tyler Simko, Shiro Kuriwaki, and Kosuke Imai)
2023. PNAS.
@article{kenn:etal:23b, author = {Christopher T. Kenny and Cory McCartan and Tyler Simko and Shiro Kuriwaki and Kosuke Imai}, title = {Widespread partisan gerrymandering mostly cancels nationally, but reduces electoral competition}, journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences}, volume = {120}, number = {25}, pages = {e2217322120}, year = {2023}, doi = {10.1073/pnas.2217322120}, URL = {https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.2217322120}, eprint = {https://www.pnas.org/doi/pdf/10.1073/pnas.2217322120}, }
Comment: The Essential Role of Policy Evaluation for the 2020 Census Disclosure Avoidance System
(with Shiro Kuriwaki, Cory McCartan, Evan T. R. Rosenman, and Tyler Simko)
2023. Harvard Data Science Review.
@article{kenn:etal:23, author = {Kenny, Christopher T. and Kuriwaki, Shiro and McCartan, Cory and Rosenman, Evan T. R. and Simko, Tyler and Imai, Kosuke}, journal = {Harvard Data Science Review}, number = {Special Issue 2}, year = {2023}, month = {jan 31}, note = {https://hdsr.mitpress.mit.edu/pub/6ffzuq19}, publisher = {}, title = {Comment: The {Essential} {Role} of {Policy} {Evaluation} for the 2020 {Census} {DisclosureAvoidance} {System}}, volume = { }, }
Simulated redistricting plans for the analysis and evaluation of redistricting in the United States
(with Cory McCartan, Tyler Simko, George Garcia III, Kevin Wang, Melissa Wu, Shiro Kuriwaki, and Kosuke Imai)
2022. Scientific Data.
Covered by The New York Times.
@article{50statesSimulations, title = {Simulated Redistricting Plans for the Analysis and Evaluation of Redistricting in the {{United States}}}, author = {McCartan, Cory and Kenny, Christopher T. and Simko, Tyler and Garcia, George and Wang, Kevin and Wu, Melissa and Kuriwaki, Shiro and Imai, Kosuke}, year = {2022}, month = nov, journal = {Scientific Data}, volume = {9}, number = {1}, pages = {689}, issn = {2052-4463}, doi = {10.1038/s41597-022-01808-2}, }
The use of differential privacy for census data and its impact on redistricting: The case of the 2020 U.S. Census
(with Shiro Kuriwaki, Cory McCartan, Evan T. R. Rosenman, and Tyler Simko)
2021. Science Advances.
Covered by The Washington Post, Associated Press, NC Policy Watch, and The Harvard Crimson
@article{kenn:etal:21, author = {Christopher T. Kenny and Shiro Kuriwaki and Cory McCartan and Evan T. R. Rosenman and Tyler Simko and Kosuke Imai }, title = {The Use of Differential Privacy for Census Data and its Impact on Redistricting: The Case of the 2020 U.S. Census}, journal = {Science Advances}, volume = {7}, number = {41}, pages = {eabk3283}, year = {2021}, doi = {10.1126/sciadv.abk3283}, URL = {https://www.science.org/doi/abs/10.1126/sciadv.abk3283}, eprint = {https://www.science.org/doi/pdf/10.1126/sciadv.abk3283}, }
The Essential Role of Empirical Validation in Legislative Redistricting Simulation
(with Benjamin Fifield, Kosuke Imai, and Jun Kawahara)
2020. Statistics and Public Policy.
@article{fife:etal:20, author = {Benjamin Fifield and Kosuke Imai and Jun Kawahara and Christopher T. Kenny}, title = {The Essential Role of Empirical Validation in Legislative Redistricting Simulation}, journal = {Statistics and Public Policy}, volume = {7}, number = {1}, pages = {52-68}, year = {2020}, publisher = {Taylor & Francis}, doi = {10.1080/2330443X.2020.1791773}, URL = {https://doi.org/10.1080/2330443X.2020.1791773}, eprint = {https://doi.org/10.1080/2330443X.2020.1791773}, }
Works-in-progress
Algorithm-Assisted Redistricting Methodology
(with Kosuke Imai, Cory McCartan, and Tyler Simko)
Book project
An Individual Causal Framework for Evaluating Electoral Systems
(with Cory McCartan)
Public Writing
Trump's proposed snap Census won't get him the seats he wants
(With Tyler Simko)
Opinion piece in The Hill. 2025.
Expert Report in Sakhnovsky, et al v. City of Daytona Beach
Case No. 2024 10140 CICI. 2024.
Expert report on census data and map drawing for Daytona Beach
Redistricting Process Reform
(With Steve Ansolabehere)
The University of Chicago Center for Effective Government's Democracy Reform Primer Series. 2024.
Amici Curiae Brief of Fair Districts Georgia and Election Law Clinic in Support of Plaintiffs
(With the Election Law Clinic at Harvard Law School)
Alpha Phi Alpha Fraternity, Inc. et al. v. Brad Raffensperger. 2021.
Maryland Congressional District Memo
(With Jonathan Rodden)
Memo to the Maryland Redistricting Commission. 2021.